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I have occasionally cited an individual poll which contradicted a point you or someone else made ... often, itself, a single poll. In that context, showing that there is not consensus is sufficient to provide rebuttal, especially if, as has often been the case, it is too early in some transition to judge where the balance is going to fall.

My pointing to the No Toss Ups map is that on balance the numbers still point to an Obama win. Picking three states, themselves all still close enough to be rated Toss Ups and at least one of which still shows an Obama advantage, and deciding that these are unquestionably going to Romney and this means that Romney has the election sewed up is simple nonsense.

RCP currently shows 201 total solid or leading Obama and 181 solid or leaning for Romney. Of the 12 states they have toss up totaling 156 votes, 8 have Obama on top for 93 and 3 have Romney on top for 34. FL is shown as a tie with 29.

That is just not Romney has a lock on this math.
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