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I was referring to the very first chart which is reprinted in comment #4 above.  A further review concerns your blue lines.  The prior 2 lagged after a decline started, which would indicate it merely follows the market.  Your projected 3rd blue line really is touching at a point after a rebound from a drop, something the other 2 didn't.

In the end all I can trust is the fact that the market sold off after the bubble and the housing bubble, which the scholastic tracking line would quite naturally follow.  For your suggestion that another crash is coming, there would need to be a catalyst comparable to the prior 2 bubbles.  The chart in and of itself really isn't helpful. Now if the European meltdown gets out of control then that could possibly be that catalyst.   

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