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I know I keep referencing Intrades odds, eventhough I believe it's off by 10% or so, biased towards Obama. But the day to day changes in the odds, I believe, do reflect accurately shifts in the momentum between the two. It's the only "quick gauge" on the daily odds. The other polls are a summary of several days, so it takes a while to read them.

Well, after the debate last night, Obama's odds dropped by 2 more points. It is now at 58%. Had been as high as 75% several weeks ago, when it appeared Obama had it wrapped up (before the 1st debate). It was 64% after the 2nd debate, when Obama got a boost.

And before the debate last night, it was at 60%. Now afterwards today, it has dropped to 58%. Which if you take away the 10 point bias, I would read that as 48% for Obama with Romney ahead at 52%.

Although Obama may have won the debate last night, he didn't have the knockout punch he needed to overturn it....therefore, Romney wins overall.
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