No. of Recommendations: 1
Is Silver's prediction based on probability math or is it an effort keep conservative voters home?

Do conservatives--the kind that would stay home because they thought their candidate might lose--even read liberal statistical bloggers in the NYTimes?

And who stays home coz their candidate might lose? That would motivate me more. Hey, I'm in South Carolina, and I think my candidate is gonna lose here--so I voted this morning.
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