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That is a great anti-thesis. And I am pretty sure you will be right as regards to timing.

One thing that may hold up the stock price a bit is (from the Q4 CC):
"A $2.2 billion remaining on our current authorization, we plan to continue to repurchase NOV shares through the downturn including if necessary using modest levels of debt from time-to-time to bridge to the next opportunity to repatriate cash from overseas."
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