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I think we mostly agree, but we've had the same problems trying to figure out how to predict the behavior of the higher numbers in the early rounds and come to different conclusions, especially about allocations of the gold.

I guess I figure if I'm #3, and #1 offers me 1, I would probably turn it down if I have even a 100:1 chance of getting that 993 if it comes to me. Same way down the line until we get to #7. So it seems like #7 should get a lot of dough.

I'm also having trouble with the judgment calls. If #9 is up and gives #10 all the gold, does #9 live? Why? Is there some assumption that given pareto-equal outcomes, a person will live rather than die? Because if the risk of having to deal with #10's whims is eliminated, I think it changes the answer.

Interesting problem, solasis.

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