No. of Recommendations: 6
Market Performance & Asset Allocation
Last Post: http://boards.fool.com/Message.aspx?mid=29932524

Market Trends (Price Oscillator & 52w-Hi/Lo)        FFNOX       .VAY       ACWX        SPY        IJR          AGG
2 of 3 Price Oscillator (PO) BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY
Slow_PO: SMA(20) %Off SMA(200) 7.4% 9.9% 3.8% 9.9% 10.3% 0.2%
Int_PO: SMA(10) %Off SMA(100) 4.7% 7.5% 5.1% 7.2% 6.8% -0.3%
Fast_PO: SMA(5) %Off SMA(50) 1.9% 1.8% 0.6% 2.8% 1.6% -0.3%
Days since Last 2 of 3 PO Chg 114 112 107 115 118 339
Days since Last 52w Hi (close) 330 331 331 4 4 60
Days since Last 52w Lo (close) 176 177 177 177 177 352
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Market Total Returns (CAGR ex. YTD) YTD(ROI) TTM Jan-09 TD Jan-03 TD StartD Reference:
Four-in-One Index (FFNOX) 10.6% 1.3% 14.4% 7.4% Sep-99 BrdMkt_AA
VL Arithmetic Index (.VAY) 13.7% 0.3% 27.1% 12.5% Apr-84 VL-Screens
S&P 1500 (EqWt: SPY,MDY,IJR) 12.4% 3.5% 19.6% 9.5% Jan-93 US-Equity
Foreign (EqWt: EFA,EEM) 12.0% -10.2% 15.0% 12.9% Apr-01 Foreign-Eq
US Bonds (EqWt: AGG,SHY) -0.3% 2.6% 3.1% 3.6% Jul-02 FixedIncome
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MI Screens - Total Returns (IRR ex. YTD) YTD(ROI) TTM(IRR) Jan-09 TD Jan-03 TD StartD Vested(N)
ETF Screens Total Return = 5.8% 0.5% 4.5% 6.9% Jun-98 83%
VL Screens Total Return = 10.6% -2.6% 16.4% 20.1% Feb-98 105%
MI Screens Total (cash incl'd YTD/TTM) = 6.9% -0.7% 10.7% 15.2% Mar-96 93%
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Tactical_Asset_Allocation Assets Target *Dread's* S&P ValueLine Benchmark
Equity - US 54% 53% 45% 45% 70% 50%
Equity - Foreign 5% 18% 15% 15% inc'l 10%
Fixed Income 26% 25% 25% 25% 30% 30%
Cash / UST-Bill / Margin 15% 5% 15% 15% inc'l 10%
Last change 31-Mar-12 30-Mar-12 31-Oct-11 9-Mar-11 13-Jun-11 N/A
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Market_Timing_Allocation Risk Averse Pessimist *Neutral* Moderate Optimist
Cash plus FI 85% 65% 45% 30% 25%
Signal Count: na na na 7 na
Bullish Signals: 0 or 1 2 or 3 4 or 5 6 or 7 8 or 9
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Market Timing Indicators Status LastChg #Chg/Yr CAGR B&H # Years
S&P400(.MID) Daily "SMA_PO(2 of 3)" Bullish 27-Oct-11 2.0 21.5% 25.8% 3.0
S&P1500(ISI) Daily "WMA_PO(2 of 3)" Bullish 21-Oct-11 2.7 14.8% 20.3% 3.0
ValueLine(.VAY) Weekly "5W SWING" Bullish 23-Dec-11 5.3 1.2% 21.9% 3.0
ValueLine(.VAY) Daily "ADX(15,15)" Bearish 30-Mar-12 11.4 16.1% 33.4% 3.0
NYSE(.NYA) Daily "TRIN" DMA(20) Bullish 19-Jan-12 6.7 7.7% 16.0% 3.0
ValueLine(VLIC30) "Spec-Def-Norm" Bullish 22-Mar-12 7.8 7.4% 15.3% 2.3
ValueLine(VLIC30) "Breadth" model Bullish 23-Dec-11 7.9 2.2% 11.3% 1.9
"Seasonal Timing" strategy™(.VAY) Bullish 14-Oct-11 2.0 11.4% 11.4% 23.0
Count / LastChg / Average 7 30-Mar-12 5.7 10.3% 19.4% 5.3
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