The Motley Fool Discussion Boards

Previous Page

Investing/Strategies / Mechanical Investing


Subject:  Re: GTT timing Date:  2/16/2019  11:17 AM
Author:  rrjjgg Number:  273494 of 275361

Two GTT graphs are now updated to January 1, 2019, and neither is predicting a recession.

The Retail Sales graph update seems to be lagging behind and has only been updated to December 1. It did drop 1.01 to about 0.72, but recent headlines at Yahoo
Finance claimed the December numbers were out. It is not
clear to me if these are already included in this graph or will be posted when it is next updated. If the latter, I expect it to go negative at the next update.

If you are a timer trying the GTT scheme, it might be prudent to use your favorite timing signals now, until this is clear.

Some signals seem to be as follows: $spx is above its 200sma and is also above its value 10 days ago (SMA signal), both bullish
Jim's 14 week sma from 16 weeks ago is still above the $SPX, bearish,
and looks like it will be at least 1-3 months before a possible change.

boris noted DBE, the 99 day signal, is now bearish at GTR1. The change at
stockcharts is difficult to see, since it is only about one point, but it happened there, too. It should remain stable for about 7 trading days then rapidly come down to about 2817, so if $SPX can rise about 1.52% in the next few weeks, we would get a new long term dbe bullish signal. Unfortunately we are in the Inferior 5 days, so that might slow down things.

New highs minus new lows is bullish and the bullish percent index is

Elan's Feb. 11 list is tied, 2 bulls 2 bears, but $spx sma changed, so 3 bulls 1 bear, if no other changes.

Copyright 1996-2019 trademark and the "Fool" logo is a trademark of The Motley Fool, Inc. Contact Us