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Something clicked in my head and made me want to revisit this graph, to see how things are looking now by the summer of 2021:

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-raw-deat...

Deaths have been higher than average and pretty much any of the last several years since the beginning of the pandemic through late May 2021.

It's encouraging that we've made a good bit of progress since the beginning of the year, almost to the point of average deaths, though I expect to see it tick back up a bit once the July figures are included.

It would appear that the vaccinations made a huge difference in the number of deaths, but it doesn't look like Covid-19 is quite done with us yet.
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