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MS Exec: Linux Is Going Down

by Michelle Delio; 2:00 a.m. Jan. 31, 2001 PST: Wired,1367,41527,00.html

Microsoft thinks Linux is doomed, and predicts that many Linux businesses will falter and fail before the end of the year.

These are three key Linux trends to watch for in 2001: a static growth rate, lessening mainstream interest in the open source operating system, and a sharp decline in Linux-based companies' stock value, said Doug Miller, Microsoft's group product manager for competitive strategies.

of course, Dougie's boss - Stevie Ballmer says it a little differently - "That really is Job 1 for us, because that's the threat to the Windows business. That's the threat through that to the Office business. So I'd put the Linux phenomenon really as threat No. 1."

So who's right Dougie or Stevie? Is it threat No.1 or is it Doomed? Or perhaps, it's doomed because it is threat #1?

Is it time to exert a little monopoly power? Perhaps they're going to lower the price of windows to zero! It worked for Netscape, why not Red Hat & the Linux crowd? Can MSFT really afford to give Windows away?

What about a MSFT Linux destribution, or what about making W2K Open Source?

In an earlier article Miller clearly stated they don't want to go there - Microsoft knows where it doesn't want to go, Miller says, and that's headlong into the open-source camp. Microsoft wants to stay a for-profit software company that charges for products and services. And it has no use for open-source development models, he says, claiming that Microsoft's existing peer-review and beta-testing processes give Microsoft better quality control than open source can provide.,5859,2625265,00.html

Of course, we all know about MSFT's legendary quality control practices.

Miller goes on to state: - "And the recent security problems with Linux, coupled with the lack of key enterprise elements in the new kernel, really call into question whether Linux should be used at all," Miller added.

ROTFLMAO - of course not everone is buying this load of manure either - Speaking about the realibility of Microsoft software in a recent Forbes piece - The attack may hurt the company's effort to sell a version of its Windows software for routers, says Ted Julian, chief strategist at network-security startup Arbor Networks. "If someone tried to sell that [software] to a telecom carrier like AT&T (nyse: T), they'd get laughed out of the building," Julian said.

"There really isn't much value in free," said Miller, who also contends that the latest release of the Linux kernel, 2.4, doesn't have the features required for widespread business use.

Appears that not everone shares Dougie's opinion:

Hinstorff said he expects to see interest in Linux continue to grow. He thinks Linux will pose a real threat to Windows, particularly in the server market, and also expects to see a lot of Linux on smart appliances and handheld devices. ....,1367,41500,00.html

And, more stuff on 2.4

OK, Ballmer's right, Linux is threat No. 1, and it's time to stop watching and start attacking. Let the FUD begin! - Their job is to watch the Linux, Unix and NetWare competition. But some rivals claim that spreading FUD is part of Doug Miller & Co.'s job, too.

Bruno the Meateater
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