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No matter how valuable a commodity is, its price have to be rationalized at the current demand/supply otherwise a bubble forms. Projecting more than 5 years into the future usually leads to bad choices for most.

And the worst of the worst on oil and all commodities as well as housing, mortgage paper, third world investing and so many other areas kicking us in the teeth was the "S" word. Speculation took over so much, throwing reality spinning off into space as if it did not matter.

Back on earth, with speculators and hedge funds crushed for the moment, we will go through a phase of the re-evaluation of the value of all things when cash re-enters the markets.


Who don't know squat.
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