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Of course I know how to time the market. :)

I agree with your rule because most times selling in January will be better than selling in December. And most years that is going to be the best you can do because the market tends to be in a zone of reasonableness.

But late in 2009 one might have considered taking more than their RMD out of their 401k, as an example. Even you and I probably knew that we might have been transferring money at a good time when the SP500 was at $668, no? But, I get your point.


I was somewhat addressing someone up thread that stated, "My approach is not really covered by the options. My goal is to avoid buying higher and selling lower." If you are moving particular shares inkind you might chose the companies that you might think are undervalued instead of those that are overvalued.

But, I will reiterate, I get your point and agree with you -- most times selling earlier is going to be better.
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