No. of Recommendations: 4
Oh carp. It;'s the same old, same old. Summation: "Don't do anything."

…. Couldn’t agree more

… there’s some in the financial industry who will continue to push the “Buy & Hold” and “You can’t time the market” memes for all they’re worth.

I’ve previously shown a simple method of “timing” the markets which would have had your stock allocation in cash for the 2000 & 2008 crashes - before the crash in each case!

In a 20yr period, the system would have moved you to cash 3 additional times (LTCM mkt disturbance in 1998, the Flash Crash market turbulence in 2010 and the S&P downgrade of US debt in 2011). These three “false” moves resulted in a minor loss of profit potential … but being out of the market for the two 40+% market crashes compensated for those minor losses in a major way…

Here is the thread for that previous discussion:

http://boards.fool.com/i-think-im-just-quite-rarely-using-31...


… this 10mo Simple Moving Average system fired another “Move to Cash” signal on 8/31/2015 … its 6th signal to move to cash in 20yrs … and even though there was a modest recovery move seen in 4Q15, the signal to move back into stocks has not fired … the system would still have your stock allocation in cash.

This is the current S&P500 Monthly Chart /w 10Mo SMA:
http://screencast.com/t/8RiIT73mhJS
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