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No. of Recommendations: 3
...other experts say it will be 2 deg or less,
What "many other experts" mate?

Here are some recent estimates in that range:

2010 Kohler et al. 2.4°C
2011 Schmittner et al. 2.4
2008 Chylek, Lohmann 1.8
2012 Gillett 1.6
2012 Lewis 1.3
2009 Douglas, Christy 1.1
2012 Asten 1.1
2011 Lindzen, Choi 0.7

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