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Paul wrote It's ok to start picking your own stocks once you can consistently beat the averages. Until then, its better to rely on others stock picking.

Beating a rising market is very simple - just invest in stocks with greater risk. I did that. There are ETF whose goal is to exceed the S&P500 by a factor of 2.0 -- invest in those stocks in a rising market and you can easily pronounce yourself a genius.
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