PosFCF’s Activity

Today

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Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 3 hours ago

Re: Perspectives on the stock market

In the last 20 years, there have been 10 corrections. Only two turned into a bear market, defined as a decline of 20 percent from its high, amid the recessions that began in 2001 and at the end of 2007. [end quote]

In both periods [more]

Thu Dec 6

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Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 8:34 AM

Re: Politics is soooo irrelevant to investing...

Actually, politics is irrelevant to this board. If tight control were not maintained, then this board would become irrelevant to investing.

Nature of the beast.

Smart people seems to equate the discussion of the ramifications of [more]

Thu Nov 29

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Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 2:44 PM

Re: Corporate Trend?

However, a heavily leveraged dividend champion may trip bond covenents if its market cap falls too low after a dividend cut.

It's been quite a few years since I've seen covenant heavy bonds or, for that matter, secured [more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Retirement Investing board. 12:34 PM

Re: Self Directed IRA

How do you investigate the relative safety of banks?

I have found that this particular analysis....the risk exposure of banks, insurers, and other types of financial institutions....is beyond the scope of reading financial [more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Retirement Investing board. 1:29 AM

Re: Self Directed IRA

Wendy

I was writing about FDIC or FSLIC insured U.S. bank CDs. Needless to say, it is always necessary to read the fine print of ANY investment anywhere in the world.

Do you remember how FDIC limits were raised overnight from [more]

Wed Nov 28

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Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Humor and Urban Legends board. 12:12 PM

Re: Dimwit of the day

"We have met the enemy and he is us."

Ah, don't burst my bubble, I thought it was the other guy :)

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 12:10 PM

Re: Alarming Default Prognostication...

Hawkwin

I agree with much of your reasoning.

Non-junk corp debt default rate in 2002 and 2008 was approximately 4% and 5% respectively

In 2008-9 IMO it wasn't so much the default rate as it was the fear of debt [more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 11:58 AM

Re: No politics on METAR!

And I am very happy that our "Empress" has picked up her scepter and is waving it around like a mace.

Always did think you a bit on the kinky side.....

Poz

(trying not to prove his head is harder than the [more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 11:26 AM

Re: Small Farm Bankrupticies On Rise in Midwest

I am aware of dental floss farming in Montana. Other than dental floss, what other kind of farming is big in Montana? (To hell with chicken farming. We should all move to Montana soon and become Dental Floss Tycoons.)

30 odd years ago [more]

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PosFCF replied to the Retirement Investing board. 10:42 AM

Re: Self Directed IRA

Both of these investments are 100% safe.

Since the CDs are an unsecured obligation of the bank, and since most western nations have adopted "bail-in" provisions which place unsecured bank debt subordinate to derivatives, I [more]

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Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Humor and Urban Legends board. 10:35 AM

Re: Dimwit of the day

Once we realize that American conservatives are a well-organized hate group we can find a way to a more positive future.

But will it be a future we'll live to see? Humans have banded together in "hate the other" groups [more]

Tue Nov 27

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Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 11:02 AM

Re: World Demand 4 US Debt is Down

Lower demand means the government must increase the interest it pays out to attract buyers. Those higher federal borrowing costs not only add to the U.S. budget deficit, they also tend to push lending rates higher for consumers and corporations, [more]

Mon Nov 26

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Boards Post

PosFCF posted to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 9:46 AM

Is there a Macro impact from Bitcoin?

Last year at this time the topic du jour seemed to be crypto-currencies with Bitcoin being the standard bearer for the sector. The technology, the various coins, the ICOs, the data-mining, all of it reminded somewhat of the red-headed dude from the [more]

Sun Nov 25

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Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 10:46 PM

Re: Interest rates and debt repayment

Wendy

...AD, the data shows that New Manufacturing Capital Expenditures for Plant and Equipment is rising rapidly....

Also, the Nonfinancial Corporate Business; Loans; Liability chart is climbing steadily....


I'm [more]

Sat Nov 24

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 12:30 PM

Re: Is this what's spooking Mr. Market?

AD

The demand for capital is lower than in the past. As a consequence, interest rates have to be lower.

Is not "capital" as used in economics divided into two main categories: physical capital and financial [more]

Thu Nov 22

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Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 2:34 PM

Re: OT Question: Medicare Part D

BTW, we chose Part D separate from a Medicare Advantage plan.

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 11:56 AM

Re: An alt. theory about recent equity drop

... so acidic that it corroded marble statues ...

Acid rain....not the name of a rock group (that I know of), but the phrase that described the phenomenon.

[more]

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 11:36 AM

Re: OT Question: Medicare Part D

Wendy

My wife and I are both on Medicare, and we have some experience with Part D.


But I have heard that Medicare, by law, is not allowed to negotiate drug prices. I really don't understand how this reimbursement [more]

Wed Nov 21

NL

Boards Post

PosFCF replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 4:07 PM

Re: Is this what's spooking Mr. Market?

I give my 2 cents worth of what's "spooking" Mr. Market:

For the last 10 years the markets have been buoyed by 4 artificial forces. By "artificial" I mean forces that normally would not be thought of in the context of [more]

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Big gold star, 5000 posts Old School Fool
Board Posts 9390
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Threads Started 850
Threads Started Percentage 9.05 %
Most Frequent Board Macro Economic Trends and Risks
Very First Post Re: Asian Bail out coming? (9/2/1998)
Percentage of Posts Rec'd 72.81 %
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