albaby1

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 11:07 AM

Re: Plug-in hybrid cars

I think Adrian's point is that the new law may push some of the 2022 Tesla sales into 2023 - when they might again become eligible for the tax credit.

Ah. That seems a bit unlikely, given Tesla's wait list. Some of their [more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 10:32 AM

Re: Plug-in hybrid cars

Tesla become eligible for tax credits in 2023. That's the point.

That wasn't what I was responding to. The poster noted (correctly) that because of the way the bill was drafted, most vehicles that would have been [more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 10:04 AM

Re: Plug-in hybrid cars

Isn't this new tax credit just going to kill EV and PHEV sales for the remainder of 2022?


Pretty unlikely. Remember, the overwhelming majority of EV sales in the U.S. are Teslas. Teslas haven't been eligible for the tax [more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 6:49 PM

Re: Saudis say "All In"

Can't spend our $6 a gallon gas buys fast enough.

The U.S. is a net exporter of petroleum products. Even in absolute numbers, very little of Saudi's exports (less than 7%) comes to the U.S. Most of their oil goes to Asian [more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 7:34 PM

Re: Al I have done a reversal on my NFT plans

Meanwhile thanks to you and Wendy for wishing me well in my endeavors.

No worries. Where are you going to mint your NFT's? I'd like to see your work.

Albaby

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 4:51 PM

Re: Al I have done a reversal on my NFT plans

I know I nodded in approval of your worries and concerns about NFTs and IPFS. I even thought I came up with some smoking guns, but the token on the chain would exist forever. The copies of the contract and animations would exist for centuries on [more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 3:43 PM

Re: Plug-in hybrid cars

Because Wendy was looking at non-SUV cars. Bringing in SUVs is off topic per the OP.

Was she? I went back and looked at the OP, and there's nothing there that specifies what type of car she was talking about.

Regardless, [more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 10:46 AM

Re: Plug-in hybrid cars

I think the Highlander is considered mid-size.

Really? I didn't know that. It's certainly a larger vehicle than most of the EV SUV's available in the U.S., and it's got a third row of seating (which again most [more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 9:31 AM

Re: The Dawn Project vs. Tesla

It was true for boolean computing but image recognition, pattern matching, is what neural networks do for a living.

Of course. But they're still not nearly as competent at it as humans. It's a much harder problem for computers [more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 9:15 AM

Re: Plug-in hybrid cars

Silly comparison. Why not compare it to a Tesla Model 3 ($47K) with fuel, maintenance and subsidies?

I imagine because the Model 3 isn't an SUV, and the Highlander is. They're very different vehicle types.

If [more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 8:57 AM

Re: The Dawn Project vs. Tesla

How difficult is it to train Tesla's FSD AI to avoid "child-sized test dummies" lying on the pavement?

That question immediately put me in mind of this cartoon:

[more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 5:44 PM

Re: The Dawn Project vs. Tesla

I suspect that, if fully autonomous vehicle appear imminent, there will be a push for "transponders" so cars can easily locate each other as well as "smart" traffic signs, parking spots, fire hydrants, bus stops, road lanes, [more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 5:15 PM

Re: The Dawn Project vs. Tesla

According to him the problem is the law has not caught up. There will be accidents and the law does not know who to blame or hold accountable.

Seems unlikely that's the reason. There's no issue with knowing who to blame or [more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 2:26 PM

Re: Plug-in hybrid cars

I am not talking just about the 2020 study. I am talking about the current situation with better EVs, better batteries, higher gasoline/oil prices, and better state/government subsidies.

If you like - but if you're talking about [more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 11:56 AM

Re: Legal point of view who owns a stolen Bored

On a completely different note - two or so years ago, you voiced the opinion that Trump would never be held criminally liable for anything. What do you think the likelihood is now?

Since that's way OT, and probably a bit [more]

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albaby1 posted to the Folly in Florida board. 11:55 AM

Criminal liability against Trump

AD asked on a politics free board:

On a completely different note - two or so years ago, you voiced the opinion that Trump would never be held criminally liable for anything. What do you think the likelihood is now?

I have [more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 9:37 AM

Re: Plug-in hybrid cars

An EV will save you close to $10,000....

No, a Tesla will save you close to $10K compared to other luxury ICE's. For other makes and models, the prospective savings are much lower - and based on some rather dodgy [more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 6:13 PM

Re: Plug-in hybrid cars

A distinction which is changing since other cars are going to be able to use the supercharger network.

Eventually. And in the intermediate-term, you may see third-party companies also building out fast-charging capabilities - whether [more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 5:38 PM

Re: Plug-in hybrid cars

Except, of course, the whole notion that EVs are not suitable for long distances is mostly ignoring Tesla.

True - but Tesla's aren't exactly cheap. So for people who are not in a position to afford a Tesla with access [more]

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albaby1 replied to the Macro Economic Trends and Risks board. 5:30 PM

Re: Plug-in hybrid cars

Albaby, are your numbers only for fuel or are you including all expenses, insurance, maintenance, etc?

That post was just about fuel. Though if we're talking very broad generalities, as noted in the Consumer Reports study that [more]