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I'm a bit perplexed by something as I read how close this election is likely to be:

- Gore barely won the 2000 vote, which was extremely close:

- Many newspapers that endorsed Bush in 2000 are endorsing Kerry in 2004 (I think the Wash Post cited 36);

- Anecdotally, I have heard numerous acquaintances/colleagues say they voted for Bush in 2000 but will vote Kerry in 2004 (and such posts have appeared on these boards);

- I've not heard of a single 2000 Gore voter who says they are switching to Bush in 2004.

Given the above, how can this be a close election? Do the polls have it wrong (like when they said Howard Dean would win Iowa)?


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