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No. of Recommendations: 1
Hello, MrMarket!

In the mailing list message you posted, you wrote:
Don't ever ever ever EVER EVER EVER buy or sell a stock based on what someone else says. Do your own homework. It's YOUR money.

Right. I've tested your method; it looks good. The test is limited, but I can't do more. I have tried to duplicate your method with the sources available to me, and for now I am satisfied with the results. (Your last pick, SAH, also scored high on my list, so I must be doing something right.) Now I am ready to do my own work. But while I was doing all this work, I got a question.

One of the things that convinced me that I was on the right track, was that two of my current 'top 3' had already been picked (and sold) by you. So: What do you do when your picks return to the list? Do you eliminate recent picks from your long list (of 20)? I see that you had on average one pick per week, so 'buy this stock', and things don't change that much in a week. (Or do they?)

And a related question: when picks stubbornly show up in the top 20 (top 10, top 3, top 1), isn't that an indication that they have more juice in them than the 15% we expect from them in the first place? On your web site, you defend selling early with: Well there are ever changing phenomena going on in the market that could make your selection criteria quite different a month after the signals told you to buy this stock. The theory here is that you are selling a potentially "tired" stock and trading it for a "fresh" one. But these stocks continue to show strength. What do you think?


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