No. of Recommendations: 1
She also counsels that you're wasting you're money trying to turn Trump voters, better to spend it getting out blacks, Hispanics and voters under 50.

So her map differs to the 2016 map in that democrats pick up Wisconsin, Michigan & Pennsylvania.

In regard to the Black vote; it is likely are clustered in major metropolitan cities which Democrats already carry.

In regard to the Hispanic vote; there are some problems.
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/03/opinion/latino-voters.htm...
The question is not are Democrats winning the Hispanic vote — it’s why aren’t Democrats winning the Hispanic vote 80-20 or 90-10 the way they are winning black voters?
In the 2018 midterms, Democrats showed gains among Hispanic voters in most states, compared with 2014. Party operatives are concerned, however, about the slow rate of growth of these improved Democratic margins. They are equally worried about turnout — at a time when many thought that President Trump’s rhetoric and policies would produce impressive gains among Latino voters for the Democratic Party.

Take turnout. Hispanics are one of the fastest growing ethnic constituencies in the United States, but their level of political participation is not keeping pace with their overall population numbers.


And there difference amongst the Hispinic vote; it is not a monolith.
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/12/04/democrats...
Before the midterms, the spin from Democrats was that Trump was their best Hispanic organizer. He was supposedly mobilizing opposition to Republican allies like Scott and DeSantis by demonizing immigrants, bungling the response to Hurricane Maria and tailoring his message exclusively to his right-wing base. But while Trump fired up Hispanics in the Southwest, especially Mexican-Americans who objected to his push for a border wall, Florida Hispanics represent a much broader cross section of Latin America. A majority of them do object to Trump, but marginally improved turnout by non-Cuban Hispanics was overshadowed by much higher turnout from Trump’s base of older Cuban exiles as well as whites, while the blue wave of Puerto Rican hurricane evacuees that some Democrats thought could change the politics of Florida forever never materialized.

And the Democrats will have to select the correct candidate. Pete Buttigieg has little sway with the Black, Hispanic vote.
https://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/elections/2019/...
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No. of Recommendations: 3
I prefer a candidate who brings all Democratic/Democratic-leaning-independent voters to the polls. Any candidate who attracts significant Republican voters will lose significant Democratic voters.

[Go Liz!]
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No. of Recommendations: 15
There's a Political Science professor at a Virgina college that nailed the 2018 Congressional Election using a turnout model that predicted an increase in progressive voter turnout caused by Trump. All the voters who stayed home in 2016 because "Hillary was a sure thing" came out in spades in 2018.

She sees the floor for the DEM candidate in 2020 at 278 electoral votes. She also counsels that you're wasting you're money trying to turn Trump voters, better to spend it getting out blacks, Hispanics and voters under 50.

https://www.270towin.com/maps/wason-center-electoral-college...

Video interview with Prof. Rachel Bitecorn
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LVGlvhjcs30

intercst
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No. of Recommendations: 1
She also counsels that you're wasting you're money trying to turn Trump voters, better to spend it getting out blacks, Hispanics and voters under 50.

So her map differs to the 2016 map in that democrats pick up Wisconsin, Michigan & Pennsylvania.

In regard to the Black vote; it is likely are clustered in major metropolitan cities which Democrats already carry.

In regard to the Hispanic vote; there are some problems.
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/03/opinion/latino-voters.htm...
The question is not are Democrats winning the Hispanic vote — it’s why aren’t Democrats winning the Hispanic vote 80-20 or 90-10 the way they are winning black voters?
In the 2018 midterms, Democrats showed gains among Hispanic voters in most states, compared with 2014. Party operatives are concerned, however, about the slow rate of growth of these improved Democratic margins. They are equally worried about turnout — at a time when many thought that President Trump’s rhetoric and policies would produce impressive gains among Latino voters for the Democratic Party.

Take turnout. Hispanics are one of the fastest growing ethnic constituencies in the United States, but their level of political participation is not keeping pace with their overall population numbers.


And there difference amongst the Hispinic vote; it is not a monolith.
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2018/12/04/democrats...
Before the midterms, the spin from Democrats was that Trump was their best Hispanic organizer. He was supposedly mobilizing opposition to Republican allies like Scott and DeSantis by demonizing immigrants, bungling the response to Hurricane Maria and tailoring his message exclusively to his right-wing base. But while Trump fired up Hispanics in the Southwest, especially Mexican-Americans who objected to his push for a border wall, Florida Hispanics represent a much broader cross section of Latin America. A majority of them do object to Trump, but marginally improved turnout by non-Cuban Hispanics was overshadowed by much higher turnout from Trump’s base of older Cuban exiles as well as whites, while the blue wave of Puerto Rican hurricane evacuees that some Democrats thought could change the politics of Florida forever never materialized.

And the Democrats will have to select the correct candidate. Pete Buttigieg has little sway with the Black, Hispanic vote.
https://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/elections/2019/...
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No. of Recommendations: 19
,,In regard to the Black vote; it is likely are clustered in major metropolitan cities which Democrats already carry.>>

That's true, but the electoral college is a state wide race. An extra black voter in an urban area of swing states like North Carolina, Georgia or Florida counts just as much as a rural white.

That's why I hope the DEMs fully fund Stacy Abrams program to limit voter suppression in the swing states.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/aug/14/stacey-abram...

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