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No. of Recommendations: 9
Since last 2 months, world wide cases are ~84k with ~3k deaths
(many were fearing millions infected with 500k+ deaths world wide by now)

Globally (outside China), total deaths are 79.

In China all trends are surprisingly positive.
Starbucks, Apple stores, Movie theaters, Factories are all slowly opening back again.

- Recoveries are up to 3500+ daily (sign that treatment and logistics are working).
- Deaths down to 20-50 daily and trending down from 100-500.
- New suspected cases are down to 2k from a high of 28k and going down.
- New cases are down to 350+ from a high of 5k and going down.
- Most importantly, severe cases are coming down 8k now down from 12k.

If this trend continues, China will not know what to do with the two huge hospitals it built by end of March.

Contrary to what media is saying, the cases in the world are NOT "now spreading".
They are "now being detected".
It has been spreading for over a month.

South Korea, Italy, Japan and Iran number are climbing from a small base but will start trending down in a week or so. They will pop some where else and cause another round of media excitement and financial markets down trend.

Mortality rate in China outside Hubei is 0.8% (104 deaths / 13,000). This is among people hospitalized. It is probably lower if asymptomatic or "sniffle" cases are counted.

The Remdesivir trial is key. We will know in next 2-3 weeks.

My guess is that if the trial results are positive, the market will quickly pop.
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