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So, their work doesn’t mean it’s the high-spread rare-severity scenario, but it is consistent with that interpretation.
..
It’s also consistent with the scenario where people are now highly sensitized to random and/or imagined symptoms they would otherwise ignore.


Yes, I mentioned that factor.
It's some combination of the following
* a greater propensity to visit the doctor for any given level of symptoms, because people know there's an epidemic
* a lesser propensity to visit a doctor because of lockdowns or fear of catching something there, coincidentally matching government instructions
* an inability to visit a doctor who is unavailable - too busy, office closed, working at the hospital, etc.
As a guess, the first one might be a meaningful factor.

Offsetting that are things like the notion that lockdowns should be suppressing all kinds of influenza like illnesses (ILIs), whether Covid-19 or not.
So, you would expect fairly low ILI counts recently.
But the counts have been very high.
The lockdown locations have correlated with where the Covid-19 has been most prevalent, yet the "excess" ILIs also correlate with where the Covid-19 has been most prevalent.
It's messy because of timing--a lockdown won't affect counts before it was enacted locally.

There shouldn't be a problem with a greater level of reporting, though.
You need to have a given threshold of fever and specific symptoms to get counted.
So, once somebody has decided to see one of the doctors who reports, the count should be accurate from there.
Imaginary symptoms shouldn't be a material factor.

Jim
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