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That report while interesting, didn't say anything about Simmons that I could find. It seemed to be about a different subject for the most part.

>>Initiating a crash program 10 years before world oil peaking would help
>>considerably but would still result in a worldwide liquid fuels shortfall,
>>starting roughly a decade after the time that oil would have otherwise peaked.

>>* Initiating crash program mitigation 20 years before peaking offers the
>>possibility of avoiding a world liquid fuels shortfall for the forecast period.

>>The date of world oil peaking is not known with certainty, complicating the decision-making process.

Are you making a point here that we need to begin a crash program 10 or 20 years before an unknowable date? Trying to drink from your firehydrant of citing others' information is something I find frustrating.

I have no problem with the idea that oil will peak, and no problem with discussing what we can do to provide adequate supply for liquid fuels. However I do have a problem with assuming that we need a mega-size project, no doubt government funded, as the solution. Too many opportunities to get it wrong, waste a whole boatload of money, and make the problem worse than if that project had never existed.

Regards -- C44
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