No. of Recommendations: 11
the dollar is UP, UP, way UP
and US long bond rates DOWN, DOWN, and DOWN the past month

the market lately is directly contradicting your prediction.
you can always say give it time, it will play out eventually
But that strategy doesn't work when making actual investment decisions


Exactly. Strategy looking at a one-month horizon makes ZERO sense in a market where we have suspicions (if not outright proof) that corporations are rigging books which distorts stock prices, the government and Fed are distorting credit markets which distorts bond markets and hedge funds trying to keep their bets above water are distorting commodities markets by making wild bets trying to make up for losses in the other two sectors.

Strategies looking at even a 12-24 month horizon make little sense in this climate.

Hence my concern.

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