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The premium is certainly going to reflect the implied volatility. The less risky the market views it, the lower the associated premium. But, even with thinner premiums I think that you can capture some decent returns by wash, rinse, repeat.

So I look for stocks that already had a recent downturn that has bumped up the volatility somewhat, but that I do not think will disappear in the next few weeks.

no guarantees, of course...
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