No. of Recommendations: 2
To explain, let me go back to red and white marbles and random sampling.

Uh oh, it's those marbles again. You better watch out - Elan's never wrong when it gets down to the marble level.

Here are two possible conclusions:
1. The ratio of white to red marbles in the bag is probably close to 3:2.
2. You have a good chance of picking five white marbles on your first try, but not on other tries.
Which conclusion sounds more plausible?

Exactly. Trust Elan when marbles are at issue :-). You've likely found nothing more than a mirage, and we're trying to do a favor by poking holes in it.

- Jamie
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