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Valyooo, this didn't look too accurate to me:

Nor this:

If you can tell us when the next big correction is coming we'd all appreciate it.  

As for how I can believe one and not the other, there are great stock pickers out there, but there aren't any great timers- at any moment some are saying one thing and some are saying the opposite so someone will always be right, but no one has proven the ability to be right consistently and the great ones (Buffet, Kass, etc) admit that they can't.  What do you know that they don't?

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