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We are beginning to see the impact on voter support of Democrats' inability to advance legislation in Washington... These are not results that will lead to large Democrat voter turnout.

This is correct.

"Moderate Democrats" are secret masochists who are happy to suffer under a steady flow of rhetorical pandering while telling the activist base to eat their peas and put on sweaters, while groveling for whatever crumbs Congressional Republicans will allow. We're supposed to be happy with ceasing a relentless backslide, expecting any more is selfish. This is the occasional one step forward that is supposed to sustain us between cycles of four steps back.

If Democrats don't quickly figure out that we are in the midst of a civil war - a battle thankfully (for the moment) isolated to our political chambers - we lose the union in 2024. Full stop.
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