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....asks an article in the Atlantic, noting the very real possibility that Trump could run a successful bid for a second term in 2024:

Could he win? Of course he could. It is unlikely—though not impossible!—that the current air of chaos and free fall around the Biden administration will continue for the next three years. (To see another example of a four-year train wreck, you’ve got to go all the way back to … the last president.) Biden also retains certain structural advantages. Incumbents have a built-in edge, and although the future course of the pandemic is unpredictable, the economy seems likely to improve, if slowly.

But the president’s approval rating has slipped definitively underwater, and the intensely polarized environment makes it hard for him to claw back favor once lost. Most worryingly for Democrats, Biden has lost favor with independent voters. Incumbency doesn’t seem to be quite the boost it once was; both Trump and Barack Obama saw their vote share slip as they ran for second terms. Besides, given the tight margins in several states, Trump wouldn’t need to gain much on Biden to beat him in a rematch.


https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/10/trump-winn...

Worse yet, a 'fair and square' Trump win would probably start off with the Republicans holding both chambers of Congress - the Senate map in 2024 is brutal for Democrats, and any political environment that has Trump winning an election is likely to result in a GOP House.

Albaby
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