No. of Recommendations: 9
Dick "I'm still mad that Clinton fired me for letting a prostitute listen into my phone calls while I sucked her toes" Morris is the latest nutball to conclude that there are secret polls which provide information the regular polls don't.

http://boards.fool.com/morris-why-polls-understate-mitt-3027...

Morris explains that you need to adjust the poll sample weighting to reflect changing demographics. But than he says that because the 2008 demographics had changed, they shouldn't be used.

Then there was this gem:

But the fact is that the undecided vote always goes against the incumbent. In 1980 (the last time an incumbent Democrat was beaten), for example, the Gallup Poll of October 27th had Carter ahead by 45-39. Their survey on November 2nd showed Reagan catching up and leading by three points. In the actual voting, the Republican won by nine. The undecided vote broke sharply — and unanimously — for the challenger.

Lots of people said the same thing in 2004 when Bush and Kerry were virtually tied. Yet the undecideds broke in large numbers for the incumbent. So no, the undecided vote doesn't always go against the incumbent. Sometimes they do, but in some elections they don't. Dick Morris surely knows this, but he's preaching to the nutball audience who doesn't know better and doesn't care.

Even though it is clear Romney will lose, the wingnuts will somehow forget about all these phony predictions. Dick Morris will still have a job making demonstrably false statements to people who don't if things are true or false. Good work if you can get it.

Reminds me of the end of the world prophecy where even though the prophet is wrong, the wrongness just intensifies the beliefs of the followers.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/When_Prophecy_Fails
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