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You also have seen things that ended up being not real. Or, at least, didn't tank the market. I seem to recall you said you had sold a lot of your holdings when Trump was elected. Somehow the market shrugged that off (I don't know how), and kept going up. I didn't sell out, but I was ready to for the first year or so of his term.

I'm still concerned that the market hasn't been rational for the past several years. Short-term declines followed by new highs within months, all "just because". Even COVID and lockdowns haven't been able to affect this bull run much. Doesn't make sense to me.

Back to topic, I just use the 4% "rule" as a sort of guide. I figure when 4% is more than my normal annual expenses, I'm probably good. And it is, so I'm free at last. Barring the unforeseen, my trigger date will be Jan 1. It is tempting to wait for the ESPP purchase in March, but I may not do that. Probably won't.

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