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You're right, but I don't think you're likely to beat this thing. There may be a market decline as people get out, for the reasons you state. But timing is very difficult. When would you get out of the market? December 15th? November 1st? July? And how would you decide when to get back in? To do better than the market, you'd have to get out and back in ahead of the crowd. But if you get out too early, or back in too late, you miss out on gains.

My current thinking on Y2K is that it will be a nuisance, not a catasrophe, and that markets will surge in the 1st or 2nd quarter of 2000, when people realize that the sky didn't fall. However, it is entirely possible that the real problems, or people's fear of them, will cause massive selloffs, and bring an end to our long bull market.

Good luck to all of us.
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